Tuesday, 15 October 2013

F1 - The Driver Market


Hi guys,


Thought I’d have a change from writing poems. This post is just a normal piece about the driver market as in who I think is going where for 2014 and onwards.

Everything written here is my own opinions and I know people are going to have different thoughts on stuff that is mentioned, but im just asking if you could respect my thoughts. If you have different opinions I would like you to share them with me, let me know what you think but most of all just enjoy the read!

 

Driver Market 

I’m more confused with the ‘driver market’ now than I ever have being in the years I have been watching F1. There are drivers all over the place who haven’t singed a contract yet, and Im struggling to figure out where everyone is going to end up.


Let’s start with Nico Hulkenberg for example. He has being linked with a number of different teams including lotus, Ferrari, McLaren, and more recently his old team Force India. Now if you believe the rumours Sauber will not be retaining Nico for the 2014 season – and I certainly believe those rumours! If im honest Nico should have been given a drive in a bigger team two years ago. The guys a great driver and has proven that he can drag an underperforming car to the front to fight with the ‘big boys’. Williams Brazil 2010 anyone? Or maybe look at his year with force India last year, and yes the car wasn’t particularly awful but it wasn’t the best! Nico was leading the Brazilian grand prix in 2012 fighting with Lewis and Jenson for the victory, and ok he collided with Lewis which ended his last race for McLaren which I have to be honest made me cry like a baby for about 2 hours after the race, but at the end of the day he’d only had two full racing seasons so you can expect the odd mistake, even the likes of Hamilton, Alonso, and Vettel make mistakes right?

Then there’s his season at Sauber this year and with a car that is miles off the pace of the bigger teams he’s putting in good performances! Yes, the car has been improved dramatically since the start of the season and that is reflected as well in Estebans improving results, but Nico is constantly proving he is quick with some amazing qualifying performances and then when we get to the race his results have been consistent compared to that of his team mate and of the guys in teams at a similar level he is scoring some good valuable points for the team.

So where’s he going to end up then? Being honest im not entirely sure but Lotus or Ferrari seem the most likely option to him because lets face it after force India’s performance this year that would certainly be a step sideways for him and McLaren – well I cant see it myself maybe some of you think different?

As silly as it sounds Ferrari seems very likely to me possibly more than lotus even! I’ll say this…can anyone actually see Fernando and Kimi working at Ferrari next year – and be honest! I certainly cant, it will end up in a massive falling out just like McLaren had to deal with in 1989 with Senna and Prost, and as good as Ferrari are I don’t see them dealing with that very well. So let’s just say Nico gets the seat at Ferrari alongside Kimi – yeah that would work, but that means Fernando would be out – so where would he go…?

McLaren. It’s simple!! Well ok maybe not so simple considering their history together but it would work well!

The signs are all there from McLaren that they are interested in signing Alonso in the future and with interest from Honda – the engine side of things as well Fernando has plenty of fans at the minute. It might not have worked at McLaren previously but I think Fernando has grown up quite a bit since then and if Jenson was to stay at McLaren as is expected then the pairing would work well I think. Jenson and Fernando get on well away from the track and they have respect for each other on the track too so I don’t think we could expect to see fireworks there like we did in 07.

As I believe McLaren quite like the idea of working with Fernando again; the way I see it is that it would only be Fernando that needs persuading to move from Ferrari back to the Woking based team. Ok, that may take a bit of work on McLaren’s part and money will probably come into it too seen as Fernando is currently the highest paid driver on the grid, but from what I can see McLaren look to have a more successful future ahead of them than the guys in red.

Firstly you have the Honda engine deal which sounds like an awesome deal considering the results they achieved when the two companies paired up last time, and as for next year (2014) when McLaren will be running with the Mercedes engine, it is said that it will be the best engine on the grid in comparison to the likes of the Ferrari and Renault engine, so that’s one thing that could sway Alonso in his decision of whether to stay at Ferrari or not.

Another thing and probably what’s playing on Fernando’s mind the most is that Ferrari are yet to give him that much desired world championship, and that the last time Ferrari won a drivers title was in 2007 with his provisional team mate Kimi.

Its not that Ferrari have being no where near a title because they have come very close  in 2010 and 2012 between Ferrari and Red Bull, with Seb winning both years and the one in-between that.  Surely though that has got to be even more frustrating than not been in the title hunt at all? The fact that in both those years Ferrari have fallen at the final hurdle has got to annoy Fernando massively, and the big issue I can see him having is that Ferrari as a team don’t seem to be learning from their mistakes, they had a pig of a car in 2012 and looking at the results they have had this year in statistics it appears worse. Now im not slating Ferrari, not at all they are the most followed and successful team in the sport and im sure that somewhere in the team they are more than capable of designing and building a car that most drivers could win the title in, but in three years with Fernando – considered by most the most talented driver on the current f1 grid – it just hasn’t happened.

Now I know what most of you are thinking – McLaren haven’t won a title since 2008 and they’ve had some pretty bad seasons themselves I mean lets all be honest here this season has been an utter disaster – and that’s coming from a McLaren fan – I think even the guys in the team would say the same though.

But for every bad season McLaren seem to have 2 or 3 good ones. They had a good year in both 2007 and 2008, a bad year followed in 2009, but, 10, 11 and 12 haven’t been bad seasons! Not at all! Okay they haven’t been able to beat the red bulls but who has? At the minute it seems no one is capable of that but I can see McLaren being very strong next season and even stronger in 2015! Also, with a potential signing of Red Bull aerodynamicist Peter Prodromou, it’s got to be worth Fernando having a good think about.

If the two were to team up and start to work with each other again McLaren would arguably have the strongest driver line up on the grid, been the only team yet again to have two champions in their line up. I can see it working, because Jenson has shown before with Lewis that he can work well with a high rated team mate and don’t forget Jenson himself is no slouch – very far from it! He proved over the seasons he was paired with Lewis that he was more than capable of beating him and became the first team mate Lewis had come across that out scored him in a season back in 2011.

Okay so Fernando to McLaren would leave no space for Sergio and yes the Mexican has done well in his first year with McLaren considering the car and everything but if Im honest I still think Perez needs a little more experience with a midfield team – I don’t think Perez was ready for McLaren and think another year or two with his old team Sauber would be a great move for him. Yes he would be going backwards but it would give him time to gain the little experience he’s missing to be able to move further up the grid again. Perez would have the team around him at Sauber and they have always been a team who have encouraged their drivers, That’s what I see Esteban and Perez at Sauber in 2014 would bring in good sponsor money and both drivers could build on their good growing reputations.

Then there’s Felipe Massa who is another driver without a seat currently in 2014. The best place I can see for Felipe to go would be to Lotus to partner Romain. To be honest I don’t see much problem with that line up at all! Massa is a great team player and I think both him and Romain are quite evenly matched in terms of speed and talent. Plus, the side that Lotus will be looking at too is money and Massa brings a lot of sponsorship to the team and with that money. Also by going to Lotus Massa would still be joining a competitive team and if you judge off recent performances you could almost say they were more competitive right now than the team he’s leaving at Ferrari.


The 2014 Formula One grid as I can see would be:

Vettel & Dan – Red Bull

Kimi & Hulkenberg – Ferrari

Lewis & Nico – Mercedes

Fernando & Jenson – McLaren

Romain & Massa – Lotus

Pail & Sutil – Force India

Vergne & Da Costa – Torro Rosso

Esteban & Perez – Sauber

Pastor & Bottas – Williams

Pic & Van Der Garde – Caterham

Bianchi & Chilton – Marrusia

 

Although the driver market talk doesn’t stop there. There’s just a few more things id like to mention.

First with Max – he deserves a second year at Marrusia you can’t possibly prove yourself in just one year especially not in a back marker team. Max could turn out to be really talented and if the team got rid of him we wouldn’t know!

Next, Paul. Reports have been saying that Force India are possibly considering getting rid of Paul – For who im not sure but why would they do that! Paul is a great driver and he proved that within his first few races of his formula one career. Yes he’s had a bad run of races but I think half of that is to do with the car because you don’t see Sutil putting in impressive performances either do you? So give Paul a chance and design and build him a decent car to match his talents!

The final thing I want to comment on with regards to swapping and changing teams is Mercedes…

Now they might well have their driver line up sorted for at least the next two years but the leadership of the Brackley team it seems is in doubt.

Talks have been going on pretty much all year regarding current team boss Ross Brawn’s position in the team and its just got worse! At the Japanese Grand Prix on Sunday Ross made it clear that he would like very much to stay with Mercedes for 2014 but which role he would carry out wasn’t commented on.

Now here’s my view… I believe Ross will be staying as team principal for Mercedes next year however when 2015 arrives my thinking is that Brawn will move to McLaren, and here’s why..!

It’s been very clear that by whoever it may be in Mercedes Ross is being pushed out of his team boss role. Now im not at all saying that it’s Toto but whoever it is will get their way at some point in the near future. Ross will move from Mercedes to McLaren in 2015 leading Toto to become boss of Mercedes and pick up where Ross left of and im sure he will do a great job.

Ross will arrive at the Woking based team in time for when the Honda engines come into play, and as seen in the past Ross has had a lot to do with Honda over the years, also Ross has a good relationship with Jenson after guiding him to the title in 2009 so if McLaren were to keep Button which I believe they should when Honda returns to the sport; there would be no issues between JB or Ross from a team point of view. So in my eyes Ross moving to McLaren would be a very good step for him to take and would also boost the McLaren team on the technical side of things.

Finally – and this is where it all gets kind of complicated and I start dreaming of what could be, but doing it in a realistic way!

2016. Lewis Hamilton will have completed his 3 year deal with the Mercedes team leaving him either to renew his contract with the team or potentially looking for somewhere to go and perhaps finish his F1 career – the way im thinking it would be the latter.

If the theory is correct and Ross is moving to McLaren then Lewis would have lost the man that persuaded him to go to Mercedes in the first place, also by 2016 McLaren would of (Hopefully) adapted to the Honda engines after working with them for a year already so any reliability issues or power issue would have been ironed out. This would be the perfect opportunity –presuming that Fernando would have either moved from McLaren or retired at this point - for Lewis Hamilton to move back ‘home’ to his family at McLaren. If Lewis went back to Woking he could maybe sign a three or five year deal with the team just has he did when he stated back in 2007 and possibly end his career the way he started it…with success and a world championship!

So what are your thoughts on that..? Do you agree? Disagree? Or maybe you haven’t you don’t know what to think??

If you have any comments at all Id love to hear them and most of all thanks for taking the time to read this, hope you’ve enjoyed it!

 

Lauren J

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